Question
Kamada: UIA Japan (B).Takeshi Kamada, Credit Suisse (Tokyo), observes that the /$ spot rate has been holding steady, and that both dollar and yen interest
Kamada: UIA Japan (B).Takeshi Kamada, Credit Suisse (Tokyo), observes that the /$ spot rate has been holding steady, and that both dollar and yen interest rates have remained relatively fixed over the past week. Takeshi wonders if he should try an uncovered interest arbitrage (UIA) and thereby save the cost of forward cover. Many of Takeshi's research associatesand their computer modelsare predicting the spot rate to remain close to 118.00/$ for the coming 180 days. Using the data below, analyze the UIA potential.
Arbitrage funds available | $ | 4,900,000 | |
Spot rate (/$) | 118.51 | ||
180-day forward rate (/$) | 117.76 | ||
Expected spot rate in 180 days (/$) | 118.00 | ||
U.S. dollar annual interest rate | 4.802 | % | |
Japanese yen annual interest rate | 3.397 | % |
The UIA profit potential is
nothing%,
which tells Takeshi Kamada that he should borrow
dollar
yen
and invest in the
higher
lower
yielding currency, the
Japanese yen
U.S. dollar
, to potentially gain on an uncovered basis (UIA).(Round to three decimal places and select from the drop-down menus.)If his expectations about the future spot rate, the one in effect in 180 days, prove correct, Takeshi Kamada generates an uncovered interest arbitrage (UIA) profit of
nothing.
(Round to two decimal places.)The risk Takeshi is taking is that the
actual
expected
spot rate at the end of the period can theoretically be anything, better or worse for his speculative position. A
large
small
movement will cost him
a lot
very little
of money.(Select from the drop-down menus.)
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