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Kelloggs is selling Krave cereal. Each box costs $2.40 to produce. The regular price of a box of Krave is $4.50. There are 10,000 loyal

Kelloggs is selling Krave cereal. Each box costs $2.40 to produce. The regular price of a box of Krave is $4.50. There are 10,000 loyal consumers who will purchase a box each week regardless of whether the product is on sale or not. In addition, there are Switchers and Newbies. Switchers will purchase only if the product is on sale and their future purchase behavior is unaffected by past purchases. Newbies will also purchase only if the product is on sale. However, half of them will become loyal after an initial purchase. Each of these converted customers will generate a CLV of $25. The number of Switchers and Newbies will depend on the sale price according to the table below:

Price

# of Switchers

Number of Newbies

$4.50

0

0

$4.20

1000

200

$3.90

2000

400

$3.60

3000

600

$3.30

4000

800

$3.00

5000

1000

$2.70

6000

1200

$2.40

7000

1400

Note, all consumers pay the same price. For example, if the price is $3.90. Total unit sales will be 12,400 (10,000 loyals + 2000 switchers + 400 newbies). In addition, Kellogg will convert 200 newbies (1/2 of 400) into loyal customers, which generate an addition profit flow of $25 each.

  1. If there is not a sale, i.e., Price = $4.50, what would be Kelloggs profit?

  1. Suppose Kellogg decides to hold a sales promotion for Krave. Complete the table below to calculate the profit Kellogg would earn at each of the possible price points. Clearly indicate which price generates the largest profit.

Price

Quantity Sold

Net Margin

# of converted newbies

Total CLV of converted newbies

Profit

$4.20

$3.90

$3.60

$3.30

$3.00

$2.70

$2.40

Quantity Sold will be the total units sold at each price (including sales to loyals, switchers, and newbies). Net Margin = (Price Unit Cost) * Quantity Sold . # of converted newbies = (# of Newbies who purchase) /2. Total CLV of converted newbies = (# of converted newbies) * (CLV of each converted newbie). Profit = Net Margin + Total CLV of converted newbies.

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