Question
Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing. The pilot
Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing. The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000. Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike. If the test-marketing phase is successful, then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two. If the test marketing is not successful, Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant, but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two. Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000. Kinston's cost of capital is 10%. Q. Assuming that Kinston has the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000, the NPV of the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project is closest to: A. $90,000. B. $590,000. C. $455,000. D. -$45,000.
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