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Larry is a high school senior. Larry s goal in life is to either ( 1 ) become a partner at the most elite business

Larry is a high school senior. Larrys goal in life is to either (1) become a partner at the most
elite business law firm in the world or (2) become a professional football player in the National
Football League.
The law firm, Dewey, Cheathum, & Howe, only hires their associates from Harvard Law School.
To make partner at DCH, the employee must remain employed at the firm for six (6) years. The
average length of employment for a new hire at the law firm is 4.5 years, and the distribution
for employment actually follows an exponential distribution.
To get accepted into Harvard Law School, a student must score a minimum of a 167 on the LSAT
and have a 3.85 GPA for their undergraduate degree. The LSAT has a range of 120180 and is
scored on a normal distribution with a mean of 151 and a standard deviation of 9.6 points.
College GPAs are also normally distributed with a mean of 3.35 and a standard deviation of
0.29. You may assume that GPA and LSAT are independent of each other.
The vast majority of Harvard Law School students attend an Ivy League school for their
undergraduate program, with many doing their undergraduate at Harvard College. Ivy League
schools require SAT scores, which are also normally distributed. SAT scores range from 400
1600, with a mean in the US of 1,060 and a standard deviation of 195. The minimum score to be
accepted at an Ivy League school for Undergrad is 1400.
In the United States, 1,093,234 individuals play high school football each year. Of those players,
71,060 of them will play football in college. Of those who play in college, 853 will play in the
NFL.
If Larrys academic and athletic skills are equal, and Larry wants to choose the option that gives
him the highest probability of success at achieving one of his goals, which direction should Larry
choose and why?

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