Last June a group of political campaign veterans, academics, journalists and others assembled a group they called the Transition Integrity Project. In the October 5-9 edition of the Economist, the magazine explains the purpose of this project as follows:

"the group founded last year, set about war-gaming four different possible election results: a commanding victory for Joe Biden, a narrow victory for Mr Biden, a narrow victory for Mr Trump achieved, as his previous one was, without a majority of the popular vote, and a result in which, because of contested outcomes in battleground states, the identity of the victor was unclear. In all four scenarios the role playing produced levels of gamesmanship and tumult beyond anything seen in recent American elections. In the narrow-Biden-victory scenario the Secret Service escorted Mr Trump from the White House on inauguration day. It is hard to overestimate what such a sight would mean to Americansand to the rest of the world."

Which of these scenarios do you think is most likely to occur and what will be the immediate consequences. Will they be benign, or as this project suggest the outcome will be "messy". What do you think might occur?