lb} Describe the pattern and discuss possible causes. Hint: What economic factors affect major capital investments? (You may select more than one answer. Click the box with a check mark for the correct answer and double click to empty the box for the wrong answer.} The factors affecting major capital investments: I] Business cycles I] Interest rates D Fo reign dem an d (e) Make a forecast for 2016 using a method of your choice {including a judgment forecast). Justify your method. {Round your answer to the nearest whole numben} The two year moving average forecast for 2016 is |:| _ U. S. Manufactured General Aviation Shipments, 1984-2016 Year Planes Year Planes Year Planes Year 1984 Planes 2,431 1992 941 2000 2, 816 2008 1985 3,079 2,029 1993 964 2001 2, 634 2009 1986 1, 585 1, 495 1994 928 2002 2, 207 2010 1987 1, 334 1, 085 1995 1, 077 2003 2, 137 2011 1988 1, 323 1, 212 1996 1, 115 2004 2,355 2012 1989 1, 516 1, 535 1997 1, 549 2005 2, 857 2013 1990 1, 144 1, 615 1998 2, 200 2006 3,147 2014 1991 1, 021 1, 631 1999 2,504 2007 3, 279 2015 1, 592