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Let's assume we know that 1% of adults over the age of 60 have lung cancer, that 90% of adults who have lung cancer will
Let's assume we know that 1% of adults over the age of 60 have lung cancer, that 90% of adults who have lung cancer will test positive (called a true positive), and that 8% percent of adults that do NOT have lung cancer will also test positive (called a false positive). What is the probability of actually having lung cancer if an adult tests positive for lung cancer?
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