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Linear Regression - Estimation by Least Squares Dependent Variable FEDFUNDS Quarterly Data From 1988:01 To 2008:04 Usable Observations 84 Degrees of Freedom 81 Centered RA2

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Linear Regression - Estimation by Least Squares Dependent Variable FEDFUNDS Quarterly Data From 1988:01 To 2008:04 Usable Observations 84 Degrees of Freedom 81 Centered RA2 0. 7936672 R-Bar^2 0. 7885726 Uncentered RAZ 0. 9628258 Mean of Dependent Variable 4.6488888889 Std Error of Dependent Variable 2. 1924192950 Standard Error of Estimate 1. 0081014466 Sum of Squared Residuals 82.317750656 Regression F(2, 81) 155.7849 Significance Level of F 0. 0000000 Log Likelihood -118.3412 Durbin-Watson Statistic 0.1755 Variable Coeff Std Error T-Stat Signif ********$* 1. Constant 0. 727699394 0. 316386533 2. 30003 0.02401979 2. INF 1.763356168 0.126879559 13. 89787 0.00000000 3 UGAP -1. 720940798 0. 132694311 -12.96921 0.00000000 Linear Regression - Estimation by Least Squares Dependent Variable FEDFUNDS Quarterly Data From 2016:01 To 2019:04 Usable Observations 16 Degrees of Freedom 13 Centered R^2 0. 8850785 R-Bar^2 0. 8673982 Uncentered RAZ 0.9738760 Mean of Dependent Variable 1. 3466666667 Std Error of Dependent Variable 0.7543856956 Standard Error of Estimate 0.2747059893 Sum of Squared Residuals 0. 9810239476 Regression F(2, 13) 50. 0603 Significance Level of F 0. 0000008 Log Likelihood -0. 3690 Durbin-Watson Statistic 0. 8494 Variable Coeff Std Error T-Stat Signif ************ * * * * 1. Constant 0. 638244502 0. 708798015 0. 90046 0.38425322 2. INF 0.022455700 0.429881559 0. 05224 0.95913405 3. UGAP -1. 621488140 0. 189187978 -8.57078 0.00000104

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