Question
Louisiana Drilling and Exploration, Inc. (LD&E) has the funds necessary to complete one of two risky oil and gas drilling projects.The first, Permian Basin 1,
Louisiana Drilling and Exploration, Inc. (LD&E) has the funds necessary to complete one
of two risky oil and gas drilling projects.The first, Permian Basin 1, involves the
recovery of a well that was plugged and abandoned five years ago but that may now be
profitable, given improved recovery techniques.The second, Permian Basin 2, is a new
onshore exploratory well that appears to be especially promising.Based on a detailed
analysis by its technical staff, LD&E projects a ten-year life for each well with annual net
cash flows as follows:
Project
Probability (P)
Annual Cash Flow (CF)
Permian Basin 1
0.08
0.84
0.08
$500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
Permian Basin 2
0.18
0.64
0.18
300,000
900,000
1,500,000
In the recovery-project valuation, LD&E uses 20% and 32% discount rate forPermian Basin 1 and Permian Basin 2, respectively. Both projects involve land acquisition, as well as surface preparation and subsurface drilling costs of $3 million each.
a).Calculate the expected value of annual cash flows for each project.
b).Calculate the NPV for each project.
c).Which project is preferred using the NPV criterion?
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