Question
Managing Transaction Exposure Problems Your company is due to receive 1,000,000 in 6 months for a shipment of hi-tech equipment just sent to a European
Managing Transaction Exposure Problems
Your company is due to receive 1,000,000 in 6 months for a shipment of hi-tech equipment just sent to a European country. The current exchange rate is $1.11/, but because of global economic uncertainty and the monetary policy of the European Central Bank, you are concerned that the value of the Euro could dramatically change in a way that hurts your company.
Other information: US interest rate is 2.5%
Euro interest rate is 1%
- What change in the currency hurts you? Appreciation of the Euro or Depreciation of the Euro?
- What is the future value of your dollar receipts if you dont hedge? Consider a range for the Euro from parity to $1.22/.
FORWARD HEDGE
- If you use a forward hedge, will you go LONG the Euro or will you SHORT the Euro?
- Lets say you enter a Euro forward contract for 1 million at a forward rate of $1.122. What is the value of your dollar receipt in 6 months? Consider an ending spot rate of $1.05 and $1.15 for the Euro.
- What is the present value of your forward-hedged receipt today (for both possible spot rates) if the appropriate discount rate is 4% per year?
OPTION HEDGE
- If you decide to hedge with an option contract, will you use a CALL or a PUT?
- If you buy the appropriate at-the-money option and it has a premium of 1.8% of the notional amount, what is the payment you make today for the hedge?
- Assume that the value of the Euro is either $1.05 or $1.15 by the end of the 6 months. What do you receive based on your option in each situation? That is, what proceeds do you get including the intrinsic value (but not including the premium) of the option?
- What is the present value of your option transaction? Include the premium paid at the start and the net proceeds you get in 6 months discounted at 4% per year.
MONEY MARKET HEDGE
- You decide to use a money market hedge. Assume you can borrow and invest at the US/Euro interest rates listed in the assumptions. What currency will you borrow?
- How much will you borrow today?
- How much (and where) will you invest today?
- What is the amount of dollars you will end up with after 6 months (consider both the $1.05 and $1.15 exchange rate)?
- What is the present value of the receipt is you use a 4% annual discount rate?
What is the best strategy if the rate for the Euro is $1.05 in 6 months? Forward hedge, option hedge, or money market hedge?
What is the best strategy if the rate for the Euro is $1.15 in 6 months? Forward hedge, option hedge, or money market hedge?
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