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Market Multiples and Reverse Engineering Share Prices. In 2000, Enron enjoyed remarkable success in the capital markets. During that year, Enrons shares increased in value

Market Multiples and Reverse Engineering Share Prices. In 2000, Enron enjoyed remarkable success in the capital markets. During that year, Enrons shares increased in value by 89% while the S&P index fell by 9%. At the end of 2000, Enrons shares were trading at roughly 83.00 per share and all of the sell-side analysts following Enron recommended the shares as a buy or strong buy. With 752.2 million shares outstanding, Enron had a market capitalization of $62,530 Million and was one of the largest firms (in terms of market capital) in the United States. At year-end 2000, Entons book Value of common shareholders equity was $11,470 Million.

At year-end 2000, Enron posted earnings per share of $1.19. Among sell-side analysts following Enron, the consensus forecast for earnings per share was $1.31 per share for 2001 and $1.44 per share for 2002, with 10% earnings growth expected from 2003-2005. At the time, Enron was paying dividends equivalent to roughly 40% of earnings and was expected to maintain that payout policy.

At year end 2000, Enron had a market beta of 1.7. The Risk free rate of return was 4.3% and the market risk premium was 5%.

REQUIRED

A.) Use CAPM to compute the required rate of return on common equity capital for Enron

B.) Use year-end 2000 data to compute the following ratios for Enron:

i. Market-To-Book ii. Price Earnings (using 2000 earnings per share) iii. Forward price earnings (using consensus forecast earnings per share from 2001)

C.) Reverse engineer Enrons $83 share price to solve for the implied expected return on Enron shares at year-end 2000. Do the reverse engineering under the following assumptions:

i.) Enrons market price equals value.

ii. The consensus analysts earnings per share forecasts through 2005 are reliable proxies for market expectations.

iii. Enron will maintain a 40% dividend payout rate.

iv. Beyond 2005, Enrons long-run earnings growth rate will be 3.0%. D.) What do these analyses suggest about investing in Enrons shares at a price of $83.00

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