Mid-Valley Manufacturers has the opportunity to bid on a contract to sell the government 100.000 valves. The valves can be manufactured by Mid-Valley using
Mid-Valley Manufacturers has the opportunity to bid on a contract to sell the government 100.000 valves. The valves can be manufactured by Mid-Valley using existing equipment at a cost of $30 per unit. One of their engineers has suggested a new manufacturing process. If there are no complications in the development of the new process, the manufacturing cost drops to $20 per unit. If complications arise in the development of the new process, the current process will have to be used. Regardless of the outcome, it will cost $200,000 to develop the new process. There is a 0.6 chance of no complications arising in the development. Mid-Valley must make its bid before the process can be developed. They can bid a price of either $40 or $50. The probability that a $40 bid wins the contract is 0.75. The probability that a $50 bid wins the contract is 0.5. They only have one chance to bid - for example, if they originally bid $50 and lose, they cannot go back with the lower bid of $40. a) Construct a decision tree for Mid-Valley, clearly indicate all probabilities and monetary values. Solve the tree to find Mid-Valley's optimal strategy? What is the expected monetary value of the optimal strategy? (12 points)
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started