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Milestone Duration Optimistic (t) Most Likely (t) Pessimistic (t) PERT Calculation (t) Critical Path Variance () Standard Deviation () Airport Frequency Study 14 9 14

Milestone

Duration

Optimistic (t)

Most Likely (t)

Pessimistic

(t)

PERT Calculation

(t)

Critical Path Variance

()

Standard Deviation

()

Airport Frequency Study

14

9

14

20

14.167

3.36

1.83

Antenna Placement Analysis

21

16

21

28

21.333

4.00

2.00

FCC Application Submission & Approval

30

25

30

35

30.000

2.78

1.67

FAA Application Submission & Approval

30

10

30

37

27.833

20.25

4.50

Wi-Fi Requirements Analysis

21

15

21

26

20.833

3.36

1.83

Wi-Fi System Installation

21

15

21

26

20.833

3.36

1.83

Wi-Fi Acceptance Test

5

3

5

8

5.167

0.69

0.83

Mobile Radio Requirements Analysis

21

15

21

27

21.000

4.00

2.00

Mobile Radio Installation

28

25

28

32

26.000

1.36

1.17

Mobile Radio Acceptance Test

5

3

5

8

5.167

0.69

0.83

Ground Control Requirements Analysis

28

20

28

32

27.333

4.00

2.00

Ground Control Installation

30

20

30

44

30.667

16.00

4.00

Ground Control Acceptance Test

14

10

14

22

14.667

4.00

2.00

RFID Luggage System Requirements Analysis

30

28

30

34

30.167

1.00

1.00

RFID Luggage System Feasibility Study

21

16

21

30

21.667

5.44

2.33

Totals

319 Days

317 Days

74.29 Days

8.62 Days

Calculate probabilityNow that you have the project teand the project standard deviation, answer the following questions:

-What is the probability of achieving your tedate?

-What date corresponds to a 95% probability?

-If the airport requests to reduce your tedate by 1 week, what is the probability of achievement? What is the probability of achieving a 2-week reduction?

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