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Monthly demand for Acme Corporation is given in the table below. Forecast the monthly demand for the next four months using Winters model with =0.05,
Monthly demand for Acme Corporation is given in the table below. Forecast the monthly demand for the next four months using Winters model with =0.05, =0.1, and =0.1. Evaluate the MSE, MAPE, MAD, and the standard deviation of forecast error estimate in each case.
Period, t | Demand, Dt |
1 | 158 |
2 | 257 |
3 | 455 |
4 | 672 |
5 | 277 |
6 | 462 |
7 | 636 |
8 | 751 |
9 | 237 |
10 | 385 |
11 | 632 |
12 | 810 |
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