Question
Month/Yr. PERIOD PRICE AIP DIFF ADV DEMAND Jan. 2016 1 5.9 6.0 0.1 6.4 13.9 2 5.9 6.3 0.4 6.1 15.0 3 6.0 6.4 0.4
Month/Yr. | PERIOD | PRICE | AIP | DIFF | ADV | DEMAND |
Jan. 2016 | 1 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 6.4 | 13.9 |
2 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 0.4 | 6.1 | 15.0 | |
3 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 0.4 | 7.3 | 15.7 | |
4 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 15.9 | |
5 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 0.5 | 7.2 | 15.9 | |
6 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 0.4 | 6.5 | 15.6 | |
7 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 6.8 | 15.1 | |
8 | 6.8 | 6.0 | -0.8 | 5.0 | 14.8 | |
9 | 6.8 | 5.8 | -1.0 | 5.8 | 15.2 | |
10 | 6.4 | 6.3 | -0.1 | 5.5 | 14.9 | |
11 | 6.5 | 6.3 | -0.2 | 6.5 | 14.9 | |
12 | 6.3 | 6.2 | -0.1 | 6.3 | 13.9 | |
Jan. 2017 | 13 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 7.0 | 15.0 |
14 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 7.7 | 15.5 | |
15 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 6.8 | 17.0 | |
16 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 0.3 | 6.8 | 13.0 | |
17 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 0.3 | 7.1 | 13.2 | |
18 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 16.2 | |
19 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 0.5 | 7.2 | 16.9 | |
20 | 6.4 | 6.1 | -0.3 | 7.5 | 17.2 | |
21 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 7.8 | 16.0 | |
22 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 8.2 | 17.9 | |
23 | 6.1 | 6.0 | -0.1 | 8.3 | 18.1 | |
24 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 8.4 | 15.5 | |
Jan. 2018 | 25 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 0.6 | 8.9 | 18.4 |
26 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 18.7 | |
27 | 6.0 | 5.8 | -0.2 | 9.3 | 18.6 | |
28 | 6.3 | 5.8 | -0.5 | 9.4 | 19.4 | |
29 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 9.3 | 19.6 | |
30 | 5.7 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 9.4 | 18.4 | |
31 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 9.5 | 19.4 | |
32 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 9.6 | 18.6 | |
33 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 9.7 | 17.7 | |
34 | 6.5 | 5.9 | -0.6 | 9.9 | 19.2 | |
35 | 6.2 | 6.0 | -0.2 | 9.8 | 19.5 | |
36 | 6.7 | 6.2 | -0.5 | 9.9 | 17.5 | |
Jan. 2019 | 37 | 6.9 | 6.0 | -0.9 | 10.1 | 20.0 |
38 | 6.9 | 6.3 | -0.6 | 10.2 | 20.0 | |
39 | 6.7 | 6.5 | -0.2 | 10.5 | 20.8 | |
40 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | 10.3 | 20.8 | |
41 | 7.1 | 6.1 | -1.0 | 9.9 | 21.0 | |
42 | 7.2 | 6.3 | -0.9 | 10.5 | 21.9 | |
43 | 7.2 | 6.4 | -0.8 | 10.6 | 20.6 | |
44 | 7.3 | 6.5 | -0.8 | 10.5 | 20.5 | |
45 | 7.2 | 6.0 | -1.2 | 11.6 | 19.4 | |
46 | 7.1 | 6.2 | -0.9 | 10.1 | 20.3 | |
47 | 6.9 | 5.9 | -1.0 | 10.3 | 20.3 | |
48 | 7.2 | 6.0 | -1.2 | 10.7 | 18.2 | |
Jan. 2020 | 49 | 7.3 | 6.4 | -0.9 | 10.9 | 21.0 |
50 | 7.4 | 6.5 | -0.9 | 10.8 | 21.1 | |
51 | 7.5 | 6.5 | -1.0 | 11.1 | 21.1 | |
52 | 7.0 | 6.2 | -0.8 | 11.2 | 21.2 | |
53 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 11.6 | 22.1 | |
54 | 7.4 | 6.9 | -0.5 | 11.5 | 21.6 | |
55 | 7.3 | 6.5 | -0.8 | 11.6 | 21.7 | |
56 | 7.3 | 6.9 | -0.4 | 11.9 | 22.3 | |
57 | 7.2 | 7.0 | -0.2 | 11.8 | 22.4 | |
58 | 7.5 | 6.8 | -0.7 | 11.9 | 22.5 | |
59 | 7.5 | 6.8 | -0.7 | 11.9 | 22.8 | |
60 | 7.5 | 6.5 | -1.0 | 11.9 | 20.2 | |
Jan. 2021 | 61 | 7.5 | 6.2 | -1.3 | 12.0 | 22.6 |
62 | 7.4 | 5.9 | -1.5 | 12.1 | 23.1 | |
63 | 7.2 | 5.6 | -1.6 | 12.6 | 23.5 | |
64 | 7.3 | 5.3 | -2.0 | 12.3 | 23.4 | |
65 | 7.6 | 5.0 | -2.6 | 12.1 | 23.1 | |
66 | 7.4 | 5.2 | -2.2 | 12.5 | 23.5 | |
67 | 8.0 | 5.5 | -2.5 | 12.5 | 23.6 | |
68 | 8.1 | 6.0 | -2.1 | 13.2 | 23.9 | |
69 | 8.2 | 6.5 | -1.7 | 13.5 | 24.2 | |
70 | 8.1 | 6.5 | -1.6 | 14.5 | 24.0 | |
71 | 8.1 | 6.0 | -2.1 | 14.2 | 24.2 | |
72 | 8.4 | 6.5 | -1.9 | 14.9 | 23.9 | |
Jan. 2022 | 73 | 8.5 | 6.3 | -2.2 | 12.0 | 23.0 |
74 | 8.6 | 5.7 | -2.9 | 14.0 | 24.5 | |
75 | 8.3 | 5.9 | -2.4 | 14.1 | 24.7 | |
76 | 8.5 | 5.3 | -3.2 | 14.0 | 24.6 | |
77 | 8.6 | 5.0 | -3.6 | 14.3 | 24.8 | |
78 | 8.5 | 5.8 | -2.7 | 14.3 | 24.8 | |
79 | 8.7 | 5.8 | -2.9 | 14.9 | 24.9 | |
80 | 8.5 | 5.6 | -2.9 | 15.0 | 24.9 | |
81 | 8.7 | 5.2 | -3.5 | 15.1 | 25.0 | |
82 | 8.8 | 5.1 | -3.7 | 15.1 | 25.6 | |
83 | 8.7 | 5.0 | -3.7 | 14.9 | 25.5 | |
84 | 8.9 | 5.3 | -3.6 | 14.9 | 25.6 | |
Jan. 2023 | 85 | |||||
Feb. 2023 | 86 | |||||
Mar. 2023 | 87 |
The Fresh Detergent Case
Enterprise Industries produces Fresh, a brand of liquid detergent. In order to more effectively manage its inventory, the company would like to better predict demand for Fresh. To develop a prediction model, the company has gathered data concerning demand for Fresh over the last 84 sales periods. Each sales period is defined as one month.The variables are as follows:
Demand = Y = demand for a large size bottle of Fresh (in 100,000)
Price = the price of Fresh as offered by Ent. Industries
AIP = the average industry price
ADV = Ent. Industries Advertising Expenditure (in $100,000) to Promote Fresh in the sales period.
DIFF = AIP - Price = the "price difference" in the sales period
- Make time series scatter plots of all five variables (five graphs). Insert trend line, equation, and R-squared. Observe graphs and provide interpretation of results.
- Construct scatter plots of Demand vs. DIFF and Demand vs. ADV, Demand vs. AIP, and Demand vs. Price. Insert fitted line, equation, and R-squared. Observe graphs and provide interpretation. Note that Demand is always on the Y axis.
- Obtain the correlation matrix for all six variables and list the variables that have strong correlation with Demand. High correlation is r > 0.80. Explain your findings in plain language.
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