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Nautilus Clothing's stock has a 60% chance of producing a 15% return, a 20% chance of producing a 17% return, and a 20% chance of
Nautilus Clothing's stock has a 60% chance of producing a 15% return, a 20% chance of producing a 17% return, and a 20% chance of producing a -6% return.
What is the stock's expected return?
We know the following expected returns for stocks A and B, given different states of the economy:
State (s) | Probability | E(rA,s) | E(rB,s) |
Recession | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.04 |
Normal | 0.5 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
Expansion | 0.3 | 0.17 | 0.07 |
What is the expected return for stock A?
The following table shows realized rates of return for two stocks.
A | B | C | |
1 | Year | Stock A | Stock B |
2 | 1 | 14% | 13% |
3 | 2 | -28% | -14% |
4 | 3 | -6% | -7% |
5 | 4 | 5% | 28% |
6 | 5 | 14% | 8% |
7 | 6 | 11% | 5% |
What was the arithmetic average return for stock B?
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