Question
Need help with understanding what formula to use to determine the sensitivity and situational analysis. - see below. Any help is appreciated. Teacher did not
Need help with understanding what formula to use to determine the sensitivity and situational analysis. - see below. Any help is appreciated. Teacher did not give ANY instructions how to do this, so I am flying blind. - the area in highlighted green is what I need to figure out
1. Perform a sensitivity analysis on this projection. How does R&Es projected external financing required change if the ratio of cost of goods sold to net sales declines from 86.0 percent to 84.0 percent?
2. Perform a scenario analysis on this projection. How does R&Es projected external financing required change if a severe recession occurs in 2023? Assume net sales decline 5 percent (growth rate = -5%), cost of goods sold rises to 88 percent of net sales due to price cutting, and current assets increase to 35 percent of net sales as management fails to cut purchases promptly in response to declining sales.
R&E SUPPLIES | |||||
Facts and assumptions ($ thousands) | |||||
Actual | Forecast | Forecast | Forecast | Forecast | |
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2023 Sensitivity Analysis | 2023 Scenario Analysis | |
Net sales | 20,613 | ||||
Growth rate in sales | 25% | 30% | |||
Cost of goods sold/net sales | 86% | 84% | |||
Gen., sell., and admin. expense/net sales | 12% | 11% | |||
Long-term debt | 760 | 660 | 560 | ||
Current portion long-term debt | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Interest rate | 10% | 10% | |||
Tax rate | 25% | 25% | |||
Dividend/earnings after tax | 50% | 50% | |||
Current assets/net sales | 29% | 29% | |||
Net fixed assets | 280 | 270 | |||
Current liabilities/net sales | 14.5% | 14.4% | |||
Owners' equity | 1,730 | prior year's equity + addtion to retained earnings |
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