Neighborhood Insurance sells fire Insurance policies to local homeowners. The premium is $140, the probability of a fire is 0.1%, and in the event of a fire, the insured damages (the payout on the policy) will be $130,000. a. Make a table of the two possible payouts on each policy with the probability of each. Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Outcome Outcome A: B: No Fire Fire! Payout s (140) $ 130,000 b. Suppose you own the entire firm, and the company issues only one policy. What are the expected value, variance and standard deviation of your profit? Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Expected Return Variance Standard Deviation $ 10 36481 191 C. Now suppose your company issues two policies. The risk of fire is Independent across the two policies. Make a table of the three possible payouts along with their associated probabilities. (Round your "Probability" answers to 4 decimal places.) Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Outcome: Outcome: Outcome: No Fire One Fire Two Fires $ (280) $ 129,850 $ 280,000 99.8001 0.1988 % 0.0001% Payout Probability d. What are the expected value, varlance and standard deviation of your profit? Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Expected Standard Variance Return Deviation $ 20 145795 382 e. Compare your answers to (b) and (d). Did risk pooling increase or decrease the varlance of your profit? Answer is complete and correct. increased the total variance of profit Risk pooling f. Continue to assume the company has issued two policies, but now assume you take on a partner, so that you each own one-half of the firm. Make a table of your share of the possible payouts the company may have to make on the two policies, along with their associated probabilities. (Round your "Probability" answers to 4 decimal places.) Outcome: No Fire Outcome: One Fire Outcome: Two Fires Payout Probability % 9. What are the expected value and variance of your profit? Expected Return Variance Standard Deviation Neighborhood Insurance sells fire Insurance policies to local homeowners. The premium is $140, the probability of a fire is 0.1%, and in the event of a fire, the insured damages (the payout on the policy) will be $130,000. a. Make a table of the two possible payouts on each policy with the probability of each. Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Outcome Outcome A: B: No Fire Fire! Payout s (140) $ 130,000 b. Suppose you own the entire firm, and the company issues only one policy. What are the expected value, variance and standard deviation of your profit? Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Expected Return Variance Standard Deviation $ 10 36481 191 C. Now suppose your company issues two policies. The risk of fire is Independent across the two policies. Make a table of the three possible payouts along with their associated probabilities. (Round your "Probability" answers to 4 decimal places.) Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Outcome: Outcome: Outcome: No Fire One Fire Two Fires $ (280) $ 129,850 $ 280,000 99.8001 0.1988 % 0.0001% Payout Probability d. What are the expected value, varlance and standard deviation of your profit? Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Expected Standard Variance Return Deviation $ 20 145795 382 e. Compare your answers to (b) and (d). Did risk pooling increase or decrease the varlance of your profit? Answer is complete and correct. increased the total variance of profit Risk pooling f. Continue to assume the company has issued two policies, but now assume you take on a partner, so that you each own one-half of the firm. Make a table of your share of the possible payouts the company may have to make on the two policies, along with their associated probabilities. (Round your "Probability" answers to 4 decimal places.) Outcome: No Fire Outcome: One Fire Outcome: Two Fires Payout Probability % 9. What are the expected value and variance of your profit? Expected Return Variance Standard Deviation
