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NewFashion Inc. is going to introduce a new line of clothes, that requires an initialinvestment of $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 .

NewFashion Inc. is going to introduce a new line of clothes, that requires an initialinvestment of $170,000. In one year NewFashion will know for sure if the line hasbeen successful or not. With a probability of 40%, the line will become popular andwill generate $15,000 every year forever (starting one year after the initialinvestment). Otherwise, it will generate nothing. If it is popular, NewFashion candecide to double the size of the project on the original terms (i.e. paying an additional$170,000 at the end of t =1 and getting additional $15,000 forever, starting at the endof t =2) by launching a line of accessories based on these clothes. Assume that theopportunity cost of capital is 4%. NewFashion can sell the patent to produce this lineof clothes at any time for $13,000(but then wont be allowed to produce it any more).ASSUME THAT PEOPLE'S TASTES ARE INDEPENDENT OF THEIR WEALTHLEVEL (Hint: No need for risk-neutral pricing. Use Decision Tree Method.).
19. The total value of the investment including the option to double is:

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