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Number new bicycle sales at a local bicycle shop are shown in the following table. a. Develop a 3-month moving average forecast and compute the

Number new bicycle sales at a local bicycle shop are shown in the following table.

a. Develop a 3-month moving average forecast and compute the MAD.

b. Develop a 4-month moving average forecast and compute the MAD.

c. Estimate demand again with a 3-month weighted moving average in which sales in the most recent month are given a weight of 2 and sales in the previous 2 months are each given a weight of 1. (Wt-1 = 2, Wt-2= 1, Wt-3 = 1). What is the MAD?

d. Using MAD, determine which forecasting method (3-mo MA, 4-mo MA, 3-mo WMA) is more accurate.

Month

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Bike Sales

10

12

13

16

19

23

26

30

21

18

16

    12

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