Question
On January 7, 2022, the Wall Street Journal reported the following rates for Treasury bonds: 10-year bond rate =1.70%; 20-year bond rate = 2.11% a.
On January 7, 2022, the Wall Street Journal reported the following rates for Treasury bonds:
10-year bond rate =1.70%; 20-year bond rate = 2.11%
a. Under the expectations theory, what is the expected 10-year bond rate (forward rate) 10 years from now? Based on your answer, what are rates expected to do (rise/fall/stay the same)? Explain why
Expected 10-year Treasury bond rate 10 years from now = _________________ (Be sure to show your work here).
Rate are expected to ___________ because ________________________
b. For the same above suppose there is a liquidity premium of 0.10% for a 20-year bond and 0.05% for a 10-year bond, under the liquidity premium theory (adjusting for liquidity premiums incorporated in bond rates) what is the new expected 10-year bond rate 10 years from now? Based on your answer, what are rates expected to do (rise/fall/stay the same)? Explain why and why the expected rate under the liquidity premium theory differs from that of the expectations theory.
Expected Rate with LP __________ Rates Expected to __________________ (Be sure to show your work here).
b. Briefly explain the market segmentation theory. Suppose there is a federal deficit increasing the demand for loanable funds, and the U.S. Treasury issues a large quantity of long-term 10-year Treasury bonds, under the market segmentation theory, what would be the effect of this issue on respectively short-term and long-term interest rates based on the segmentation theory. What is a weaknesses for this theory?
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