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On May 1 st 2 0 1 8 PC Solutions Ltd won a contract worth 1 . 2 m to develop a customised piece of

On May 1st 2018 PC Solutions Ltd won a contract worth 1.2m to develop a
customised piece of software for its largest customer Dilnot plc. Dilnot requires the
software to be ready to use by September 19th 2018 and will only pay one third of
the contract value if the software is late. PC Solutions Ltd can either develop the
software in-house using its own staff, which will cost 600,000, or it can use a Tokyobased software company which will cost an additional 50% on this cost.
If PC Solutions Ltd produces the software themselves there is a 10% chance that
the project will not be completed by the deadline. The company in Tokyo is used to
responding quickly and would be guaranteed to produce the software on time. PC
Solutions Ltd will know whether the software is going to be delivered on time on July
29th 2018. If they know that the software will be late at that point, they can choose
to continue to produce the software locally, or to cancel the contract paying a
100,000 penalty to Dilnot plc, or send it to the Tokyo-based company for completion
at a further cost 400,000 with an 80% chance that the software will still be
completed on time.Draw a decision tree for PC Solutions Ltd. including all relevant data on the diagram.
Calculate the expected values for each decision point and recommend a
course of action for each decision point to PC Solutions Ltd.

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