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On May 17, Kyoko, an American investor, decided to buy three-month Treasury bills. She found that the per-annum interest rate on three-month Treasury bills
On May 17, Kyoko, an American investor, decided to buy three-month Treasury bills. She found that the per-annum interest rate on three-month Treasury bills is 8.00% in New York and 12.00% in London, Great Britain. Based on this information and assuming that tax costs and other transaction costs are negligible in the two countries, it is in Kyoko's best interest to purchase three-month Treasury bills in New York , because it allows her to earn 1.00% more for the three months. On May 17, the spot rate for the pound was $1.510, and the selling price of the three-month forward pound was $1.508. At that time, Kyoko chose to ignore this difference in exchange rates. In three months, however, the spot rate for the pound fell to $1.450 per pound. When Kyoko converted the investment proceeds back into U.S. dollars, her actual return on investment was -2.97% As a result of this transaction, Kyoko realizes that there is great uncertainty about how many dollars she will receive when the Treasury bills mature. So, she decides to adjust her investment strategy to eliminate this uncertainty. What should Kyoko's strategy be the next time she considers investing in Treasury bills? Exchange half of the anticipated proceeds of the investment for domestic currency. Sell enough foreign currency on the forward market to match the anticipated proceeds from the investment. Exchange large amounts of domestic currency for foreign currency. Had Kyoko used the covered interest arbitrage strategy on May 17, her net return on investment (relative to purchasing the U.S. Treasury bills) in British three-month Treasury bills would be 1.13% . (Note: Assume that the cost of obtaining the cover is zero.)
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