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On Myanmar's Election Day, a polling company is contracted by an international media outlet to conduct an exit poll. Voters are sampled and asked whether

On Myanmar's Election Day, a polling company is contracted by an international media outlet to conduct an exit poll. Voters are sampled and asked whether they voted for the National League for Democracy--the pro-democratization party led by Aung San Suu Kyi. The poll draws from a voter population N=28,000, and probability that a voter votes for NLD

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