Question
One of the most popular explanations for momentum in asset prices is known as under- reaction. (Remember that momentum is the phenomenon that an asset
One of the most popular explanations for momentum in asset prices is known as under- reaction. (Remember that momentum is the phenomenon that an asset that increased in price recently continues to increase in price in the short run. And assets that experienced a price decline continue to fall on average in the short run.) Under-reaction means that when an asset has some news (lets say good news), the market price goes up but not the whole amount. That means at first the stock under-reacts to the news, and then over time it continues to go up as the information is eventually completely processed.
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a) Assume that under-reaction is the reason we see momentum in asset prices. If the amount of overconfidence among investors increases, do you expect there to be an increase or decrease in momentum?
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b) Consider a stock market where investors learn information about firms through word- of-mouth. That is, one investor learns some news, then tells some friends, who then tell some other friends, etc. Would you expect such a stock market to exhibit more or less momentum than an alternative stock market where investors tend to learn news about firms from national television broadcasts?
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