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Panera Bread Projected Cash Flows For Fiscal Years Ending 12/31 (in $ millions) (Actual) (Forecast) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Panera Bread
Projected Cash Flows
For Fiscal Years Ending 12/31 (in $ millions) (Actual) (Forecast) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
INCOME STATEMENT
Total Revenues $2,795.4 $2,846.1 $3,083.1 $3,374.4 $3,886.9 $4,220.0
Growth YoY 1.8% 8.3% 9.4% 15.2% 8.6%
Cost of Sales $2,205.4 $2,220.0 $2,404.8 $2,632.0 $3,031.8 $3,291.6
78.9% 78.0% 78.0% 78.0% 78.0% 78.0%
Gross Profit $590.0 $626.1 $678.3 $742.4 $855.1 $928.4
Operating Expenses $195.8 $196.0 $199.9 $203.9 $208.0 $212.2
Depreciation & Amortization $154.4 $155.0 $155.0 $155.0 $155.0 $155.0
Total Operating Expenses $350.2 $351.0 $354.9 $358.9 $363.0 $367.2
12.5% 12.3% 11.5% 10.6% 9.3% 8.7%
EBIT $239.8 $275.1 $323.4 $383.4 $492.1 $561.2
Adjustments $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
EBIT (Adjusted) $239.8 $275.1 $323.4 $383.4 $492.1 $561.2
8.6% 9.7% 10.5% 11.4% 12.7% 13.3%
Other Income (Expense) ($1.4) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Interest Expense (Income) $8.9 $12.8 $13.7 $14.8 $16.2 $18.7
Pre-Tax Income $229.5 $262.3 $309.7 $368.7 $475.9 $542.6
Income Tax Expense $84.3 $94.43 $111.49 $132.71 $171.33 $195.33
36.7% 36.0% 36.0% 36.0% 36.0% 36.0%
Net Income $145.2 $167.9 $198.2 $235.9 $304.6 $347.3
Depreciation & Amortization $154.4 $155.0 $155.0 $155.0 $155.0 $155.0
EBITDA $394.1 $430.1 $478.4 $538.4 $647.1 $716.2
CASH FLOW
Capital Expenditures $200 $211 $200 $196 $196 $193

Prepare a discounted cash flow analysis of Panera Bread based on the consensus forecast, with an exit valuation multiple of 16.8x EBITDA in 2021, and calculate the present value of one share.

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