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Part [E] Assume that you are condent about the estimates of all the variables that affect the cash ows except unit sales. If product acceptance

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Part [E] Assume that you are condent about the estimates of all the variables that affect the cash ows except unit sales. If product acceptance is poor, sales would be only 75,000 units a year, while a strong consumer response would produce sales of 135,000 units. In either case, cash costs would still amount to 55% of revenues. You believe that there is a 25% chance of poor acceptance, a 25% chance of excellent acceptance, and a 50% chance of average acceptance {the base case}. 1. What is the worstcase MPH? The bestcase \"PM? You should consider the 5% inflation in your calculation as in Part {D}. 2. Use the worstcase, most likely case {or basecase], and bestcase NP'U's with their probabilities of occumence, to nd the project's expected NP'J, standard deviation, and coefcient of variation. Table 2: Allied's Lemon Juice Proiect Considering 5% Inflation Expected Iii-Ination 5% Table 2: Allied's Lemon Juice Project Considering 5% Inflation Expected inflation 5% Years 0 2 I. Investment Outlays Equipment cost $ (250,000) Installation (30,000) CAPEX $ (280,000) Increase in inventory (20,000) Increase in Account Payable 6,000 ANOWC S (14,000) Il. Project Operating Cash Flows Unit sales 150,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 Price per unit $ 1.575 $ 1.654 $ 1.736 $ 1.823 Total revenues 236,250 248,063 260,466 273,489 Operating costs (w/o deprn) X X X X Depreciation X xX Total costs x XXX XXX EBIT (Operating income) Taxes on operating income X X XX EBIT (1 - T) = Aafter tax operating income X x X x X X X X Add back depreciation xX EBIT (1 - T) + DEP x X Ill. Terminal Year Cash Flows Salvage value X Tax on salvage value X After-tax salvage value X Recovery of NOWC X Project Free Cash Flows = $ (294,000) $ 110,447 X x $ 144,755 EBIT(1-T) + DEP - CAPEX - ANOWC

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