Question
Pion Resorts is planning to receive BR67,000,000 (Brazilian Real) in dividends from its affiliates in Brazil, in three months. The current spot rate is BR3.2500/US$
Pion Resorts is planning to receive BR67,000,000 (Brazilian Real) in dividends
from its affiliates in Brazil, in three months. The current spot rate is BR3.2500/US$ and the three
month forward rate is BR5.4875/US$. Three-month options (calls and puts) are quoted at
BR5.5200/US$ with a premium of BR$.0600/US$. Assume you can hedge the full amount with an
option contract. Economic conditions have deteriorated in Brazil, and inflation is hitting 4.5% per
month. Current inflation in the United States is 1% per month. In response to these conditions, the
Brazilian Central Bank is devaluing its currency once a month, according to a crawling peg. 1 The
Brazilian affiliate of Pion can take loans at 48% annual rates, while interest rates in the US are 3%.
What should Pion Resorts do regarding the reception of its dividends? What would be your suggestion when hedging? NOTE: You can calculate the annual inflation rates by compounding the monthly inflation rates, so you can have an expected exchange rate in three months by using Relative PPP.
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