Question
please answer correctly and show workings. Thank you (f) Estimate the value of a share of Cisco common stock as of July 30, 2016 using
please answer correctly and show workings. Thank you
(f) Estimate the value of a share of Cisco common stock as of July 30, 2016 using the discounted
cash flow (DCF) model and sales, NOPAT and NOA forecast in (e)
(g) If Cisco's top management were optimistic about CISCO's market growth opportunities and
revised their sales growth rates up by 5%, please forecast Cisco's sales, NOPAT, and NOA for
years 2017 through 2020 and the terminal period using the following assumptions:
Sales growth 2017
7%
Sales growth 2018-2020
8%
Terminal growth
1%
Net operating profit margin
2016 rate rounded to three decimal places
Net operating asset turnover
2016 rate rounded to three decimal places
(h) Estimate the value of a share of Cisco common stock as of July 30, 2016 using the
discounted cash flow (DCF) model and the forecast in (g); Note, still assume a discount rati
(WACC) of 10%, common shares outstanding of 5,029 million, and net nonoperating oblig
(NNO) of $(37,113) million.
(i) Cisco stock closed at $31.47 on September 8, 2016, the date the Form 10-K was filed
SEC. How does your DCF valuation estimates compare with this closing price? What do
believe are some reasons for the difference? What investment decision is suggested from
results?
Cisco Systems; Inc. is a multinational information technology company headquartered in San
Jose, California, that produces and sells networking hardware, telecommunications equipment and
other high-technology services. Cisco Systems was founded in December 1984 by Leonard Bosack
and Sandy Lerner, two Stanford University computer scientists, who pioneered the concept of a
local area network (LAN). In 1990, Cisco Systems went public with a market capitalization of
$224 million. By 2000, Cisco had become the most valuable company in the world with a more
than $500 billion market capitalization. The stock was initially listed on the NASDAQ in 1990,
and then was added to the Dow Jones Industrial Average on June 8, 2009. Cisco is currently
included in the S&P 500 Index, the Russell 1000 Index, NASDAQ-100 Index and the Russell 1000
Growth Stock Index.
As Figure 1 shows, the stock price of Cisco Systems peaked in 1999-2000 before the burst of
internet bubble. However, its stock price has been fluctuating in the range of $10-$30 since 2001.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Income
/ears Ended December (S millions)
July 30, 2016. July 25,2015
Revenue
Product $37.254. 37,750
Service. 11.993. 11,411
Total revenue49,247. 49,161
Cost of sales.
Product. 14,161. 15,377
Service. 4,126. 4103
Total cost of sales 18,287. 19,480
Gross margin. 30,960. 29, 681
Operating expenses
Research and development 6,296. 6207
Sales and marketing. 9,619. 9,821
General and administrative. 1,814. 2,040
Amortization of purchased intangible assets. 303. 359
Restructuring and other charges. 268. 484
Total operating expenses. 18,300. 18,911
Operating income. 12,660. 10,770
Interest income. 1,005. 769
Interest expense. (679). (566)
Other income (loss), net (69). 228
Interest and other income (loss), net. 260. 431
Income before provision for income taxes 12,920. 11,201
Provision for income taxes. 2,181. 2,220
Net income. 10,739. 8,981
Balance sheet
In millions, except per value. July 30, 2016. July 25,2015
Assets
Current assets.
Cash and cash equivalents. 7,631. 6,877
Investments. 58,125. 53,539
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts of $249
at July 30, 2016 and $302 at July 25, 2015 - 5847. 5344
Inventories. 1,217. 1627
Financing receivables, net. 4,272. 4491
Other current assets. 1627. 1490
Total current assets. 78,719. 73,368
Property and equipment, net. 3506. 3332
Financing receivables, net. 4158 3858
Goodwill. 26,625. 24469
Purchased intangible assets, net. 2501. 2376
Deferred tax assets. 4299. 4454
Other assets. 1844. 1516
Total assets. 121652. 113373
Liabilities
Current liabilities
Short-term debt. 4160 3897
Accounts payable. 1056. 1104
Income taxes payable. 517. 62
Accrued compensation. 2951. 3049
Deferred revenue. 10,155. 9824
Other current liabilities. 6072. 5476
Total current liabilities. 24911. 23412
Long-term debt. 24483. 21457
Income taxes payable. 925. 1876
Deferred revenue. 6317. 5359
Other long-term liabilities. 1431. 1562
Total liabilities. 58067. 53,666
Consolidated balance sheets
In millions, except par value. July 30,2016July25,2015
Cisco shareholders' equity
Preferred stock, no par value: 5 shaes authorized; none issued and
outstanding
Common stock and additional paid-in capital, $0.001 par value:
20,000 shares authorized; 5,029 and 5,085 shares issued and. 44516. 43592
outstanding at July 30, 2016 and July 25, 2015, respectively.
Retained earnings. 19,396. 16,045
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (326) 61
Total Cisco shareholders' equity. 63586. 59,698
Noncontrolling interests. (1). 9
Total equity. 63585. 59707
Total liabilities and equity. 121652. 113373
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