Political party affiliation is believed to be a very strong indicator of how voters will vote in Presidential Elections. You are interested in determining if voter party loyalty has changed since 1992. During the 1992 election, the proportion of self-proclaimed Republicans who voted for George H. W. Bush was 0.938. During the 2012 election, in a survey of 231 Republican voters, 184 indicated that they had voted for Mitt Romney. The 95% confidence interval for this proportion is ( 0.7446 , 0.8485 ). What is the best conclusion you can make from this information that is listed below?

Question 6 options:

1)

We can claim that the proportion of self-proclaimed Republicans who voted in the 2012 election for their party candidate is smaller than 0.938.

2)

We can claim that the proportion of self-proclaimed Republicans who voted in the 2012 election for their party candidate is larger than 0.938.

3)

The proportion of self-proclaimed Republicans who voted for their party candidate in 2012 who changed from 0.938 is 95%.

4)

The confidence interval does not provide enough information to form a conclusion.

5)

We can not conclude that the proportion of self-proclaimed Republicans who voted in the 2012 election for their party candidate differs from 0.938.