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PortaCom manufactures notebook computers and related equipment. PortaCom's product design group developed a prototype for a new high-quality portable printer. The new printer features an

PortaCom manufactures notebook computers and related equipment. PortaCom's product design group developed a prototype for a new high-quality portable printer. The new printer features an innovative design and has the potential to capture a significant share of the portable printer market. Preliminary marketing and financial analyses provided the following selling price, first-year administrative cost, and first-year advertising cost:

Selling price = $284 per unit
Administrative cost = $500,000
Advertising cost = $700,000

In the simulation model for the PortaCom problem, the preceding values are constants and are referred to as parameters of the model.

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a. An engineer on the product development team believes that first-year sales for the new printer will be 18,500 units. Using estimates of 550 per unit for the direct labor cost and $88 per unit for the parts cost, what is the first-year profit using the engineer's sales estimate? b. The financial analyst on the product development team is more conservative, indicating that parts cost may well be $101 per unit. In addition, the analyst suggests that a sales volume of 9,500 units is more realistic. Using the most likely value of $50 per unit for the direct labor cost, what is the first-year profit using the financial analyst's estimates? c. Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what if scenarios such as those suggested by the engineer and the financial analyst? A simulation provide probability information about the various profit levels whereas a what-if analysis provide probability information about the various profit outcomes

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