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PortaCom manufactures notebook computers and related equipment. PortaCom's product design group developed a prototype for a new high-quality portable printer. The new printer features an

  1. PortaCom manufactures notebook computers and related equipment. PortaCom's product design group developed a prototype for a new high-quality portable printer. The new printer features an innovative design and has the potential to capture a significant share of the portable printer market. Preliminary marketing and financial analyses provided the following selling price, first-year administrative cost, and first-year advertising cost:

    Selling price = $248 per unit
    Administrative cost = $450,000
    Advertising cost = $550,000

    In the simulation model for the PortaCom problem, the preceding values are constants and are referred to as parameters of the model.

    1. An engineer on the product development team believes that first-year sales for the new printer will be 18,000 units. Using estimates of $41 per unit for the direct labor cost and $92 per unit for the parts cost, what is the first-year profit using the engineer's sales estimate? $ fill in the blank 1
    2. The financial analyst on the product development team is more conservative, indicating that parts cost may well be $102 per unit. In addition, the analyst suggests that a sales volume of 10,500 units is more realistic. Using the most likely value of $41 per unit for the direct labor cost, what is the first-year profit using the financial analyst's estimates? $ fill in the blank 2
    3. Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what-if scenarios such as those suggested by the engineer and the financial analyst? A simulation

      willwill not

      provide probability information about the various profit levels whereas a what-if analysis

      willwill not

      provide probability information about the various profit outcomes.

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