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PORTLAND, Ore., Feb. 5, 2019/PRNewswire/-- PSI 2020, a campaign committee in Oregon, has released scientific polling showing that Oregon voters are currently split on the

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PORTLAND, Ore., Feb. 5, 2019/PRNewswire/-- PSI 2020, a campaign committee in Oregon, has released scientific polling showing that Oregon voters are currently split on the Psilocybin Service Initiative of Oregon, a ballot initiative measure aiming to legalize access to psilocybin assisted therapy in 2020. The measure would also reduce penalties for the possession of psilocybin "magic" mushrooms. Participants in the survey, conducted by DHM Research, were given a clean look at the Certified Ballot Title (as it would appear on the ballot in 2020) and were then asked how they would vote if the election were held today. Here's the full article: https://www.prnewswire.comews-releases/oregon-psilocybin-services-ballot-measure-has-significa support-poll-shows-300790433.html The chart came from https://www.marijuanamoment.net/most-oregon-voters-favor legalizing-psilocybin-mushrooms-for-medical-use-pall-finds/ } Do you support or oppose creating lawful access in Oregon to therapeutic psilocybin services at licensed facilities under the supervision and care of licensed facilitators? Response Category n=588 Strongly support 35% Somewhat support 29% Somewhat oppose 9% Strongly oppose 21% Don't know 6% 1. Find the best point estimate for the proportion who say they support the initiative (either 'strongly' or 'somewhat'). How many people in the sample either "Strongly support" or "Somewhat support" the initiative? [3 pts] Here is a picture of the distribution from Statkey. Sampling Dotplot of Proportion 80 O LAn Tall O Two- Tall Right Tall samples - 2000 60 10 20 1.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.702. Use the picture to estimate the Standard Error for the proportion of Oregonians in support of the initiative at that time. If you don't know how to do this, make up a number and use it in the problem below. (no penalty in problem 4). [ 2 pts] 3. I have circled one dot in the picture. (Value: 0.658) Describe what that dot represents in terms of the simulation. By that, I mean, if you were to pick one dot at random, what would that dot represent? [3 pts] 4. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all voters who were in favor of legalizing thereapeutic psilocybin services at that time. Round your endpoints to the nearest 1%. [4 pts] 5. Interpret your results in a sentence. [4 pts] 6. When the votes were tallied (November 2020), the results were as follows. Was the actual p within the confidence interval? (1 pt] Oregon Measure 109 Result Votes Percentage Yes 1,270,057 55.75% No 1,008,199 44.25%

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