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Problem 6-2 Expected value [LO6] Sharpe Knife Company expects sales next year to be $1,550,000 if the economy is strong, $825,000 if the economy is
Problem 6-2 Expected value [LO6] Sharpe Knife Company expects sales next year to be $1,550,000 if the economy is strong, $825,000 if the economy is steady, and $550,000 if the economy is weak. Mr. Sharpe believes there is a 30 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 40 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 30 percent probability of a weak economy. What is the expected level of sales for the next year? | ||||
Input variables: | ||||
Strong sales | $1,550,000 | |||
Steady sales | $825,000 | |||
Weak sales | $550,000 | |||
Strong probability | 0.30 | |||
Steady probability | 0.40 | |||
Weak probability | 0.30 | |||
Solution and Explanation: | ||||
Expected outcome: | ||||
Strong sales | ||||
Steady sales | ||||
Weak sales | ||||
Total | ||||
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