Question
PROBLEM: *Liberia Interest rate = 7% *U.S. Interest rate = 2% Spot exchange rate between U.S. Dollar and LRD is 0.5USD per LRD Spot exchange
PROBLEM:
*Liberia Interest rate = 7%
*U.S. Interest rate = 2%
Spot exchange rate between U.S. Dollar and LRD is 0.5USD per LRD
Spot exchange rate after 1 year between U.S. Dollar and LRD is 0.47USD per LRD
If a person invest 1 LRD now and buy dollars of that, she will get 0.5 dollar. Dollar will earn 2% rate of interest which will make it 0.5 * 1.02 = 0.51 dollar after one year.
This 0.51 dollar in one year can be converted back to Liberian currency which will give 0.51 / 0.47 = 1.085 LRD which is actually 8.5% growth while the rate of interest in Liberia is 7%. Arbitrage gives 1.5% more in trading between currencies. So, there exist a arbitrage opportunity.
QUESTION: But the strategy is not an arbitrage? (because they are investing the LRD?)
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