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Product Orders (Demand) Information The company provides you with the following information for the past two fiscal years: Demand Characteristic 2019 2020 Annual Demand, sets

Product Orders (Demand) Information

The company provides you with the following information for the past two fiscal years:

Demand Characteristic

2019

2020

Annual Demand, sets

26,918

31,763

Average Weekly Demand

518

611

Standard Deviation of weekly Demand

130

153

Product Forecasting Information

Throx uses two main forecasting methods based on annual data to predict orders for the following year, a weighted moving average and exponential smoothing. They provide you with the following information about forecasts for FY 2017 through FY2020:

Actual Demand (Three Sock Sets)

Weighted Moving Average Fcst

Exponential Forecast

2017

18,850

15,500

16,300

2018

22,432

17,060

18,340

2019

26,918

20,614

21,613

2020

31,763

24,765

25,857

Weighted Moving Average uses Wt = 0.6, Wt-1 =0.3 Wt-2 =0.1

Exponential Smoothing uses = 0.8.

Calculate measures of forecast accuracy: MFE, MAD and MAPE using the data from FY2017 through FY2020.

Note unlike your homework/tests where we utilized multiple months this is just for the four years (treat them like months).

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