Project Analysis: Scenario & Breakeven

The most likely outcomes for a particular project are estimated as follows:

Unit selling price: $50

Variable cost: $30

Fixed cost: $300,000

Expected sales: 30,000 units per year

However, you recognize that some of these estimates are subject to error. Suppose that each variable may turn out to be either 10% higher or 10% lower than the initial estimate. The project will last for 10 years and requires an initial investment of $1 million, which will be depreciated straight-line over the project life to a final value of zero. The firms tax rate is 22%, and the required rate of return is 12%. There is no working capital or salvage value for this project.

(a). What is the project NPV, IRR for the most likely outcomes of this project?

(b). What is project NPV, IRR in the best-case scenario, that is, assuming all variables take on the best possible value?

. What about the worst-case scenario NPV, IRR, that is, assuming all variables take on the worst possible value?

(d). Using the most likely outcomes what is the Breakeven amount in units and dollars for this project?