Question
Project the companys likely consolidated financial performance for each of the next three years Year Ended Dec. 30 2017 Dec. 31 2016 (53 weeks) Dec.
Project the companys likely consolidated financial performance for each of the next three years
Year Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec. 30 2017 | Dec. 31 2016 (53 weeks) | Dec. 26 2015 | Dec. 27 2014 | Dec. 28 2013 | ||||||||||||||||
(in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Income Statement Data: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue | $ | 921,736 | $ | 968,994 | $ | 1,024,040 | $ | 966,478 | $ | 793,705 | ||||||||||
Less excise taxes | 58,744 | 62,548 | 64,106 | 63,471 | 54,652 | |||||||||||||||
Net revenue | 862,992 | 906,446 | 959,934 | 903,007 | 739,053 | |||||||||||||||
Cost of goods sold | 413,091 | 446,776 | 458,317 | 437,996 | 354,131 | |||||||||||||||
Gross profit | 449,901 | 459,670 | 501,617 | 465,011 | 384,922 | |||||||||||||||
Operating expenses: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Advertising, promotional and selling expenses | 258,649 | 244,213 | 273,629 | 250,696 | 207,930 | |||||||||||||||
General and administrative expenses | 73,126 | 78,033 | 71,556 | 65,971 | 62,332 | |||||||||||||||
Impairment (gain on sale) of assets, net | 2,451 | (235 | ) | 258 | 1,777 | 1567 | ||||||||||||||
Total operating expenses | 334,226 | 322,011 | 345,443 | 318,444 | 271,829 | |||||||||||||||
Operating income | 115,675 | 137,659 | 156,174 | 146,567 | 113,093 | |||||||||||||||
Other expense, net | 467 | (538 | ) | (1,164 | ) | (973 | ) | (552 | ) | |||||||||||
Income before provision for income taxes | 116,142 | 137,121 | 155,010 | 145,594 | 112,541 | |||||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes | 17,093 | 49,772 | 56,596 | 54,851 | 42,149 | |||||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 99,049 | $ | 87,349 | $ | 98,414 | $ | 90,743 | $ | 70,392 | ||||||||||
Net income per share basic | $ | 8.18 | $ | 6.93 | $ | 7.46 | $ | 6.96 | $ | 5.47 | ||||||||||
Net income per share diluted | $ | 8.09 | $ | 6.79 | $ | 7.25 | $ | 6.69 | $ | 5.18 | ||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding basic | 12,035 | 12,533 | 13,123 | 12,968 | 12,766 | |||||||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding diluted | 12,180 | 12,796 | 13,520 | 13,484 | 13,504 | |||||||||||||||
Balance Sheet Data: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Working capital | $ | 66,590 | $ | 99,719 | $ | 112,443 | $ | 97,292 | $ | 59,901 | ||||||||||
Total assets | $ | 569,624 | $ | 623,297 | $ | 645,400 | $ | 605,161 | $ | 444,075 | ||||||||||
Total long-term obligations | $ | 44,343 | $ | 75,196 | $ | 73,019 | $ | 58,851 | $ | 37,613 | ||||||||||
Total stockholders equity | $ | 423,523 | $ | 446,582 | $ | 461,221 | $ | 436,140 | $ | 302,085 | ||||||||||
Statistical Data: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Barrels sold | 3,768 | 4,019 | 4,256 | 4,103 | 3,416 | |||||||||||||||
Net revenue per barrel | $ | 229.05 | $ | 225.55 | $ | 225.55 | $ | 220.08 | $ | 216.35 |
So far in 2018, the success of its new initiatives, to the tune of $190.5 million net revenue, an increase of $28.8 million or 17.8 percent from the same period last year.
Depletions increased 8 percent from the comparable 13-week period in 2017.
Shipments increased 15 percent.
Full-year depletion and shipment change continues to be estimated at between zero and plus 6 percent.
First quarter gross margin of 50.5 percent was 3.3 percentage points above the 2017 first quarter margin; the companys full year gross margin target remains unchanged at between 52 and 54 percent.
Advertising, promotional and selling expenses in the first quarter increased $13.8 million or 25.6 percent, compared to the first quarter of 2017, primarily due to increased investments in local marketing, point-of-sale and media and increased freight to distributors due to higher rates and higher volumes.
Depletions and shipments percentage change of between zero and plus 6 percent.
National price increases of between zero and 2 percent.
Gross margin of between 52 and 54 percent, increasing during the year due to progress on cost saving initiatives.
Increased investment in advertising, promotional and selling expenses of between $15 million and $25 million. This does not include any changes in freight costs for the shipment of products to the companys distributors.
Increased general and administrative expenses of between $10 million and $20 million due to organizational investments and stock compensation costs.
Non-GAAP effective tax rate of approximately 28 percent, excluding the impact of ASU 2016-09.
Estimated capital spending of between $55 million and $65 million, which mostly consist of investments in the companys breweries and tap rooms and could be significantly higher, if deemed necessary to meet future growth.
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