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Q 3 ) A marine operator presently offers service between ports A and B , 6 , 0 0 0 miles apart, utilizing a single

Q3) A marine operator presently offers service between ports A and B,6,000 miles apart,
utilizing a single ship. At an equivalent land speed 20 miles per hour, the total sailing time
for a one-way voyage is 300 hours or 12.5 days. The average time spend loading or unloading
cargo in either port is two days, so the average one-way trip time for the ocean voyage for a
cargo is 12.5+2=14.5 days. The round round-trip time is thus 29 days. Far a working year
of 330 days, the effective frequency is 33029=11.4 round trips per year. The ship's capacity
is 15,000 tons of cargo; the rate presently charged is $25 per ton. The average cost of a one-
way trip is $225,000 per voyage, or $15 per ton of available capacity.
The operator estimates that the demand function in this market is
V=Z0-*tiv-Q-*c
Where
V= round-trip volume in tons per year
Z0= market size factor
tiv= one-way trip time
Q= frequency in round trips per year
c= freight rate in dollars per ton
a,,Y= parameters
His estimates of the parameters are a=19,500,=3.1106,=8,000 and Z0=982,680.
The average volume per voyage is 20,000 tons.
a. Are his estimates of the parameters consistent with this volume? What fraction of available
capacity is utilized per voyage? What is his gross revenue (receipts from rates paid), total cost
and net revenue (gross revenue less total cost) per voyage?
b. The operator is considering replacing the present ship with a newer vessel, which would
have a speed of 24 miles per hour, thus cutting the one-way sailing time to 10.4 days. The
cost per voyage of this newer, faster ship would be $250,000 per one-way trip. The capacity
and loading/unloading times would be the same. Would this ship be more attractive to the
operator: (i) if frequency and rate remained the same? (ii) if the frequency were increased to
take advantage of the increased speed but the rate remained the same? (iii) if the frequency
were increased and the rate increased to $30 per ton? Summarize and discuss your results:
What consequences can a change in vehicle speed have? Discuss the significance of the
parameters a, and .
c. After doing the analysis, operator suddenly realizes that he has ignored a fundamental
principle: the time that will influence shipper's decisions (that is the demand function) should
be the total door-to-door time, not just the trip time on the ocean leg. He estimates that an
average shipment spends about six days in the land portion of the trip, for a total travel time
of 20.5 days. How might this affect his estimates? Discuss qualitatively.
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