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Q. 4 Nimby plc is considering two mutually exclusive projects; Delphi and Oracle. The possible NPVs for each project and their associated probabilities are as
Q. 4 Nimby plc is considering two mutually exclusive projects; Delphi and Oracle. The possible NPVs for each project and their associated probabilities are as follows:
Delphi | Oracle | ||
NPV (m) | Probability of occurrence | NPV (m) | Probability of occurrence |
20 | 0.2 | 30 | 0.5 |
40 | 0.6 | 40 | 0.3 |
60 | 0.2 | 65 | 0.2 |
Required:
- Calculate the expected net present value and the standard deviation of NPV associated with each project.
- Which project would you select and why? State any assumptions that you have made in coming to your conclusions.
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