Q11. Columbo the detective fancies himself a shrewd judge of human nature. In careful

tests it has been discovered that he is right 80% of the time when he says that a randomly

chosen suspect is lying or not. Columbo says that Jones is lying. The polygraph expert, who

is right 100% of the time, says that 40% of the subjects interviewed by Columbo are telling

the truth. What is the probability that Jones is lying?

PLEASE DRAW A DIAGRAM OR SIMILAR IF POSSIBLE