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Quantitative analysis of the TIMELINESS and TECHNICAL ratings shown in the upper left - hand corner of your stock s Value Line Investment Survey (

Quantitative analysis of the TIMELINESS and TECHNICAL ratings shown in the upper left-hand
corner of your stocks Value Line Investment Survey (VLIS) report.
Note: the Technical rating predicts short-term
performance (0 to 6 months) while the Timeliness rating predicts longer-term (6 months plus).
Our first step in evaluating these is to estimate the stocks long-term average growth rate,
implied by the current stock price, using a two-stage dividend discount model. Note: this APProach is very similar to the example your textbook works through on pp to the example your textbook works through on pp.406-409 using the
Chevron VLIS report, except it estimates the terminal growth rate based on the b x ROE formula,
and then solve for the stock value, whereas were taking the current stock price as given and
backing out the implied terminal growth rate. If your stock does not pay a dividend, youll need
to use the FCFE-based version of the model explained on page 419 of Chapter 13.
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