Question
Quarter Revenue 1 $1,200,000 2 $880,000 3 $1,800,000 4 $1,050,000 5 $1,700,000 6 $350,000 7 $2,500,000 8 $760,000 9 $2,300,000 10 $1,000,000 11 $1,570,000 12
Quarter Revenue 1 $1,200,000 2 $880,000 3 $1,800,000 4 $1,050,000 5 $1,700,000 6 $350,000 7 $2,500,000 8 $760,000 9 $2,300,000 10 $1,000,000 11 $1,570,000 12 $2,430,000 13 $1,320,000 14 $1,400,000 15 $1,890,000 16 $3,200,000 17 $2,200,000 18 $1,440,000 19 $4,000,000 20 $4,100,000.
Question 1: Use simple exponential smoothing to predictions for revenue for the next four quarters. alpha = 0.30
Question 2: Use Trend-Adjusted Exponential Smoothing (Holt's method) to make forecast for revenue during the next four quarters. Assume alpha = 0.05 and beta = 0.65, initial revenue forecast = 1209285.75 and initial trend forecast = 15714
Question 3: Using least-square regression with season index decomposing method, forecast the revenues during the next four quarters.
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