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Quarterly demand for flowers at a wholesaler are as shown Forecast quarterly demand for year 5 using simple exponential smoothing with a = 0.1 as

Quarterly demand for flowers at a wholesaler are as shown

Forecast quarterly demand for year 5 using simple exponential smoothing with a = 0.1 as well as Holt's model with a = 0.1 and B = 0.1. Which of the two methods do you prefer,

Why?

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