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Question 1 An asset manager is valuing the listed company ES 3 0 Z with expected year - on - year growth rate of sales

Question 1
An asset manager is valuing the listed company ES30Z with expected year-on-year growth
rate of sales as given in Table 1. Year 1 is the company's first year of activity.
Table 1
The EBIT margin (as percentage of sales) is expected to grow 25 basis points (0.25%) per
year between year 2 and year 5. In year 1, the expected level of EBIT is 3,600 with EBIT
margin of 5%. Additional assumptions are:
Depreciation: 6% of sales, all years
Recurrent Capex: 8% of sales for year 1, with percentage decreasing 40 basis
points per year until year 4
Change in working capital: 9% of yearly changes of EBIT
Tax rate: 20%
Target capital structure: debt/(debt + equity) ratio of 60%
Asset beta: 1.45
Risk-free rate: 4%
Equity risk premium: 6%
Debt spread: 5%
To answer the following questions, make plausible assumptions if necessary.
a. Compute the Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCF) for the period from year 1 until
year 5, including year 5. Round your computations to zero decimal places. Explain
your answer.
[10 marks]
b. Given the set of assumptions reported below Table 1, what is the discount rate to
be used in this valuation exercise? Round your computations to two decimal places.
Explain your answer.
[10 marks]
c. The company is expected to operate beyond year 5 and the expected nominal
growth rate of FCF in perpetuity is 1.85%. The current market capitalization of the
company under analysis is 32,500 and the expected net cash position at the end
of year 1 is 2,500. Assume that there are no minority interests. What is the level of
financial investments (at the end of year 1) above which the asset manager
investment recommendation is to BUY shares of the company under analysis
(valuation at the end of year 1)? Explain your answer.
[10 marks]
d. Consider the scenario in which the board of the company changes the estimated
target capital structure to 30%. Will this impact the estimated FCF and the discount
rate? Explain your answer.
[10 marks]
e. In the estimation of the equity value, an analyst should ignore the estimated value of
non-core non-current assets because they respect to non-core activities of the
company under analysis. Do you agree? Explain your answer.
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