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Question 1: Mick Karra is the manager of MCZ Drilling Products, which produces a variety of specialty valves for oil field equipment. Recent activity in

Question 1:

Mick Karra is the manager of MCZ Drilling Products, which produces a variety of specialty valves for oil field equipment. Recent activity in the oil fields has caused demand to increase drastically, and a decision has been made to open a new manufacturing facility. Three locations are being considered, and the size of the facility would not be the same in each location. Thus, overtime might be necessary at times. The following table gives the total monthly cost (in $1,000s) for each possible location under each demand possibility. The probability for the demand levels have been determined to be 20% for low demand, 30% for medium demand, and 50% for high demand.

Demand is Low

Demand is Medium

Demand is High

Ardmore, OK

85

110

150

Sweetwater, TX

90

100

120

Lake Charles, LA

110

120

130

Which location should be selected based on each of the following criterion:

1-Optimistic

2-Pessimistic

3-Equally likely

4-Minimax regret

5-Expected cost of operation

6-Expected value of perfect information

7-Expected opportunity loss

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