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Question 10 (5 points) The exponentially smoothed volatility estimate EWMA o; = 10;-1 + (1 - Nr-1 is calculated with smoothing parameters lambda=.94. Will volatility
Question 10 (5 points) The exponentially smoothed volatility estimate EWMA o; = 10;-1 + (1 - Nr-1 is calculated with smoothing parameters lambda=.94. Will volatility predictions be higher after negative returns than after similar positive returns? True False Question 11 (5 points) In the estimated GJR-GARCH equation for MSFT returns is the effect of a positive return significantly different from zero? GARCH Model : gjrGARCH (1,1) distribution norm optimal parameters Estimate Std. Error t value pr(>1t| omega 0.000003 0.000001 3.8040 0.000142 alpha 0.010182 0.001936 5. 2601 0.000000 beta 0.955405 0.002597 367.8692 0.000000 gamma 0.048321 0.006881 7.0222 0.000000 Yes, since gamma is statistically significant with p-value5%
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