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Question 2 The table below shows the annual passenger numbers for a transportation company showing the nnual passenger numbers for Australian airlines. (a) By
Question 2 The table below shows the annual passenger numbers for a transportation company showing the nnual passenger numbers for Australian airlines. (a) By using adaptive-response-rate single exponential smoothing (ARRSES) a = 2= 3 = 4 = =0.300, A1 M= 0, (b) By applying Holt's linear method with a = 0.8321 and B = 0.0001 make the forecast for 1990-2016 (c) By applying Holt-Winter's multiplicative way with a = 0.441, B = 0.030, y = 0.002 make the forecast for 1990 -2016 assuming a quarterly forecasting. (d) By applying Holt-Winter's additive way with a = 0.306, B = 0.0003, y = 0.426 make the forecast for 1990-2016 assuming a quarterly forecasting. Year Time Observation t 386 1989 O 1990 1 17.55 1991 2 21.86 1992 3 23.89 1993 4 26.93 1994 5 26.89 1995 6 28.83 1996 7 30.08 1997 8 30.95 1998 Q 30.19 1999 10 31.58 2000 11 32.58 2001 12 33.48 2002 13 39.02 2003 14 41.39 2004 15 41.60 2005 16 44.66 2006 17 46.95 2007 18 48.73 2008 19 51.49 2009 20 50.03 2010 21 60.64 2011 22 63.36 2012 23 66.36 2013 24 68.20 2014 25 68.12 2015 26 69.78 2016 27 72.60
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