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QUESTION 20 The following table shows the probability of default (%) for companies starting with a particular credit rating. Time (years)12345710Aaa0.0000.0130.0130.0370.1040.2410.489Aa0.0220.0680.1360.2600.4100.6821.017A0.0620.1990.4340.6790.9581.6152.759Baa0.1740.5040.9061.3731.8622.8724.623Ba1.1103.0715.3717.83910.06513.91119.323B3.9049.27414.72319.50923.86931.77440.560Caa15.89427.00335.80042.79648.82856.87866.212 What is the probability

QUESTION 20

  1. The following table shows the probability of default (%) for companies starting with a particular credit rating.
  2. Time (years)12345710Aaa0.0000.0130.0130.0370.1040.2410.489Aa0.0220.0680.1360.2600.4100.6821.017A0.0620.1990.4340.6790.9581.6152.759Baa0.1740.5040.9061.3731.8622.8724.623Ba1.1103.0715.3717.83910.06513.91119.323B3.9049.27414.72319.50923.86931.77440.560Caa15.89427.00335.80042.79648.82856.87866.212
  3. What is the probability of a bond initially rated Ba defaulting during the fifth year?
  4. 8.955%
  5. 10.065%
  6. 2.226%
  7. 4.694%

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