Question 2.1:

Community General Hospital finds itself treating many bicycle accident victims. Data from the last seven 24-hour periods is shown below:

Day Bicycle Victims

1 19

214

311

415

534

618

Question 2.6:

With an alpha value of 0.47 anda starting forecast in day 3 equal to the 23 , what is the exponentially smoothed forecast for day4?

Question 2.7:

What is the exponentially smoothed forecast for day 5?

Question 2.8:

What is the exponentially smoothed forecast for day 6? (Round to two decimal places)(2 marks)

Question 2.9:

What is the MAD for the exponentially smoothed forecasts for days 4 through 6 using alpha=0.47?(2 marks) (Round to two decimal places)

Question 2.14:

What is the MSE for the exponentially smoothed forecasts for days 4 through 6 with alpha=0.47?(2 marks)